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Policy in a World of Pandemics, Social Media, and Passive Investing

Investment Implications of Flattening the Curve

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The Illusion of Skill - Evaluating Funds With Skewed Distributions

     The Sharpe Ratio: A Blunt Weapon - Hiding the Risk of Asymmetric Returns

Spacetime Continuum - Where drawdown meets time under water

"Put your hand on a hot stove for a minute, and it seems like an hour.
Sit with a pretty girl for an hour, and it seems like a minute.
That's relativity"  ~ Albert Einstein

As I think back to...

To great fanfare, Amazon’s value surpassed $1 trillion on September 4. Since then, Amazon’s market cap has come back to $934 billion, a loss of more than 6%. Eventhough it is still way up from its 52 week low, we are debating whether this a big enoug...

Since Agilent has been flat this year, it is natural to assume that nothing of interest to investors is happening here. But Wayne Himelsein, one of my managers, doesn’t agree. Wayne has been calling short-term price movements more accurately than any...

Nvidia has gone from $30 to $272 in less than three years. It is natural to feel that it's too late to get on board. But as Wayne Himelsein, one of my managers, has said, “the best investments are the ones the rise quickly after you make the purchase...

NRG Energy is an integrated power company headquartered in Princeton, New Jersey. Wayne Himelsein, one of my managers, has been calling short-term price movements more accurately than anyone else for the past 17 years. Just as the best poker players...

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Because of the stay-at-home order and related effects of COVID-19, Logica was unable to meet the original filing deadline for its ADV, and relied on the SEC CV-19 order to file by the extended deadline.

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